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10/15 Conservative Intel poll of #NJSen

Please refer to the poll as the Conservative Intel/Harper Poll

New Jersey Poll, Conducted: Oct. 13-14, 2013
Respondents: 778 Likely Voters
Margin of Error: 3.5%

New Jersey Senate Special Election

(Crosstabs available here.)

Q: How likely are you to vote this coming Wednesday, October 16th in the special election for the United States Senate?

Very likely……………90%
Somewhat likely……10%

Q: If the special election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for: Cory Booker, Democrat, or Steve Lonegan, Republican?

Booker………………..52%
Lonegan………………41%
Someone Else………..2%
Not sure………………..5%

Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each.

Chris Christie

Favorable………………56%
Unfavorable……………34%
Not sure……………….10%

Cory Booker

Favorable………………47%
Unfavorable……………35%
Not sure……………….17%

Steve Lonegan

Favorable………………..38%
Unfavorable……………..45%
Not sure…………………17%

Rand Paul

Favorable…………………24%
Unfavorable………………45%
Not sure………………….32%

Bruce Springsteen

Favorable…………………48%
Unfavorable………………22%
Not sure………………….29%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Approve……………………45%
Disapprove………………..48%
Not sure…………………….7%

Q: Do you want Chris Christie to run for President in 2016?

Yes………………………..34%
No………………………….43%
Not sure…………………..23%

(Asked only of “No” respondents from previous question)
Q: Do you want Christie to not run because you do not want to lose him as New Jersey’s Governor or because you believe he would not be a good President?

Don’t want to lose Christie…………………………………..12%
Don’t think Christie would be a good President………….82%
Not sure……………………………………………………………6%

Q: Do you consider Chris Christie to be Conservative, Moderate or Liberal?

Conservative………………35%
Moderate…………………..51%
Liberal………………………..6%
Not sure……………………..8%

Q: Who do you blame most for the shutdown of the federal government: Republicans in Congress, President Obama and Senate Democrats, or both equally?

Republicans in Congress…………………………..47%
President Obama and Senate Democrats………32%
Both equally……………………………………………19%
Not sure………………………………………………….2%

Q: If leaders in Washington fail to increase the government’s debt limit, what impact do you believe this will have on our economy?

Very negative………………………………………….51%
Somewhat negative…………………………………..25%
Somewhat positive…………………………………….8%
Very positive…………………………………………….4%
Not sure………………………………………………….13%

Q: After an 0-6 start to their football season, do you believe the New York Giants should bench quarterback Eli Manning and play someone different?

Yes………………….10%
No……………………52%
Not sure…………….38%

Demographics:

Region
Central……………….22%
NYC Metro………….29%
Northwest……………14%
Philly Metro…………15%
Shore…………………20%

Party Affiliation
Republican…………..32%
Democrat…………….42%
Unaffiliated/Other……26%

Gender
Female………………..52%
Male……………………48%

Age
18 – 35………………….9%
36 – 50…………………24%
51 – 65…………………40%
66 and older…………..27%

Race/Ethnicity
White…………………….75%
Black…………………….10%
Hispanic………………….5%
Other……………………..11%

Ideology
Conservative……………..27%
Moderate………………….50%
Liberal……………………..23%

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 778 likely voters and the margin of error is +/-3.49%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted October 13-14, 2013 by Harper Polling on behalf of Conservative Intel. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

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