1/13 Conservative Intel poll of Michigan

 

Conservative Intel/Harper Poll of Michigan
Conducted January 7-8, 2014
1,004 Likely Voters
653 Likely GOP primary voters
Full Sample and GOP primary results

Q: In an election for U.S. Senate, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?

Republican

40%

Democrat

41%

Someone else

7%

Not sure

12%

Q: In an election for Governor, would you generally prefer to vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?

Republican

41%

Democrat

39%

Someone else

5%

Not sure

15%

Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each.

Terri Lynn Land

Favorable

32%

Unfavorable

18%

Not sure

51%

Gary Peters

Favorable

18%

Unfavorable

18%

Not sure

64%

Mark Schauer

Favorable

12%

Unfavorable

15%

Not sure

73%

Bill Schuette

Favorable

20%

Unfavorable

23%

Not sure

57%

Rick Snyder

Favorable

42%

Unfavorable

40%

Not sure

18%

Mark Totten

Favorable

5%

Unfavorable

8%

Not sure

87%

Q: In the election for U.S. Senate, who would you most likely vote for: Terri Lynn Land, Republican or Gary Peters, Democrat?

Land

44%

Peters

36%

Not sure

20%

Q: In the election for Governor, who would you most likely vote for: Rick Snyder, Republican or Mark Schauer, Democrat?

Snyder

47%

Schauer

35%

Not sure

18%

Q: In the election for Attorney General, who would you most likely vote for: Bill Schuette, Republican or Mark Totten, Democrat?

Schuette

42%

Totten

33%

Not sure

24%

Q: In an election for President in 2016, who would you most likely vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Chris Christie, Republican?

Clinton

40%

Christie

38%

Not sure

23%

Q: In an election for President in 2016, who would you most likely vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Ted Cruz, Republican?

Clinton

46%

Cruz

36%

Not sure

19%

Q: In an election for President in 2016, who would you most likely vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Rand Paul, Republican?

Clinton

45%

Paul

40%

Not sure

15%

Q: In an election for President in 2016, who would you most likely vote for: Hillary Clinton, Democrat or Paul Ryan, Republican?

Clinton

44%

Ryan

41%

Not sure

15%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Approve

35%

Disapprove

55%

Not sure

10%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama’s new health care law, known as Obamacare?

Approve

33%

Disapprove

55%

Not sure

12%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of Michigan’s Right to Work law, which protects workers from being forced to join or pay dues to a labor union?

Approve

46%

Disapprove

41%

Not sure

13%

 

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of the emergency manager’s efforts in the City of Detroit?

Approve

44%

Disapprove

22%

Not sure

34%

Q: Do you support or oppose selling the art at the Detroit Art Museum to help the city’s pension and other debt obligations?

Support

28%

Oppose

53%

Not sure

19%

Q: Do you approve or disapprove of Congress extending unemployment benefits?

Approve

50%

Disapprove

37%

Not sure

13%

 

Q: Do you expect the Detroit Tigers baseball team to get to the World Series in 2014?

 

Yes

41%

No

20%

Not sure

38%

 

Q: Do you expect the Detroit Lions football team to be better or worse next season?

 

Better

48%

Worse

16%

About the same

27%

Not sure

10%

 

Q: How would you rate the emergency response to the recent snowstorm across Michigan?

 

Excellent

21%

Good

44%

Mediocre

19%

Poor

7%

Not sure

9%

 

Q: Do you consider the recent snowstorm to be worst in your lifetime?

 

Yes

14%

No

78%

Not sure

7%

 

Q: On political issues, do you consider yourself Liberal, Moderate, or Conservative?

 

Liberal

16%

Moderate

40%

Conservative

38%

Not sure

7%

 

Q: Do you support the goals and ideals of the Tea Party?

 

Yes

27%

No

48%

Not sure

25%

 

Demographics:

 

Party Affiliation
Republican

27%

Democrat

32%

Independent or other party

41%

 

Gender
Female

53%

Male

47%

 

Age
18 to 35

11%

36 to 50

31%

51 to 65

38%

66 and older

21%

 

Race/Ethnicity
White

81%

Black

8%

Other

11%

 

METHODOLOGY:
The sample size for the survey is 1004 likely voters and the margin of error is +/- 3.09%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted January 7-8, 2014 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

GOP PRIMARY RESULTS
SAMPLE = 653 Likely Republican primary voters

Q: How often do you vote in Republican primary elections?

Very often

81%

Somewhat often

19%

Q: If the 2016 Republican Presidential primary election were held today, who would you most likely support: Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Bobby Jindal, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, Rick Santorum or Scott Walker?

Christie

20%

Cruz

10%

Jindal

5%

Paul

19%

Rubio

7%

Ryan

9%

Santorum

4%

Walker

2%

Not sure

23%

Q: On political issues, do you consider yourself Liberal, Moderate, or Conservative?

Liberal

6%

Moderate

31%

Conservative

59%

Not sure

4%

 

Q: Do you support the goals and ideals of the Tea Party?

Yes

42%

No

28%

Not sure

29%

Demographics:

Party Affiliation Republican

57%

Independent or any other party

43%

 

 

Gender Female

51%

Male

49%

 

 

Age
18 to 35

10%

36 to 50

35%

51 to 65

37%

66 and older

18%

METHODOLOGY:

The sample size for the survey is 653 likely Republican primary voters and the margin of error is +/- 3.83%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted January 7-8, 2014 by Harper Polling. The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

comments