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8/6 Conservative Intel Poll of Arkansas: Cotton already has a narrow lead

Please refer to the poll as a Harper Polling/Conservative Intel poll.
Arkansas Poll
Conducted: Aug. 4-5, 2013
Respondents: 587 Likely Voters
Margin of Error:  +/-4.04% 

Analysis of this poll available here.

Crosstabs available here.

Q. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, would you prefer to vote for: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Republican………………….44%
Democrat……………………36%
Someone else……………….7%
Not sure……………………..13%

Q. If the election for Governor were held today, would you prefer to vote for: the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate?
Republican…………………..42%
Democrat…………………….38%
Someone else………………..4%
Not sure………………………16%

Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each.
Q. Tom Cotton
Favorable………………….34%
Unfavorable………………..26%
Not sure……………………40%
 
Q. Mark Pryor
Favorable………………….38%
Unfavorable………………..40%
Not sure……………………22%

Q. Asa Hutchinson
Favorable…………………..37%
Unfavorable………………..30%
Not sure…………………….33%

Q. Mike Ross
Favorable…………………..23%
Unfavorable………………..23%
Not sure……………………54%

Q. If the election for Governor were held today, who would you most likely vote for: Asa Hutchinson, Republican or Mike Ross, Democrat?
Hutchinson………………46%
Ross………………………38%
Not sure………………….16%

Q. If the election for U.S. Senator were held today, who would you most likely vote for: Tom Cotton, Republican or Mark Pryor, Democrat?

Cotton……………………..43%
Pryor……………………….41%
Not sure……………………16% 

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Approve…………………….28%
Disapprove…………………61%
Not sure…………………….11%

Q. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?
Approve……………………..32%
Disapprove………………….42%
Not sure…………………….26%
 
Q. Do you believe Mark Pryor has done enough to deserve reelection or should we give someone else a chance?
Deserves reelection………33%
Someone new……………..48%
Not sure…………………….19%
 
Q. Do you consider Mark Pryor to be conservative, moderate, or liberal?
Conservative……………….11%
Moderate……………………39%
Liberal……………………….32%
Not sure…………………….18%
 
Q. Would you say Mark Pryor generally votes for or against President Obama’s policies?
For Obama’s policies…………..53%
Against Obama’s policies……..17%
Not sure……………………………30%
 
Q. On political issues, do you consider yourself to be Conservative, Moderate or Liberal?
Conservative…………………..48%
Moderate……………………….32%
Liberal………………………….15%
Not sure…………………………5%
 
Q. Party Affiliation
Republican…………………….30%
Democrat………………………37%
Independent/Other……………33%
 
Q. Race/Ethnicity
White………………………….79%
Black………………………….16%
Hispanic……………………….1%
Other……………………………4%
 
Q. Age
18 to 35………………………..11%
36 to 50………………………..26%
51 to 65…………………………35%
66 and older……………………28%
 
Q. Gender
Female…………………………52%
Male…………………………….48%

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