Conservative Intelligence Briefing Coverage of Conservative Political Candidates and Campaigns. Tue, 29 Jul 2014 18:35:14 +0000 en-US hourly 1 #KYSen: Mitch McConnell Tied with Dem Grimes Tue, 29 Jul 2014 18:26:05 +0000 Conservative Intel Newsmax: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell may already have a bittersweet taste in his mouth, given the dueling polls of late. On the one hand, polls increasingly show the U.S. Senate flipping to Republican control in November which would make him the Senate Majority Leader.

Except, other polls in his own state show his race to retain his seat isn’t a foregone conclusion.

A Human Events poll from a week ago showed McConnell tied with his Democrat opponent Alison Grimes at 45% apiece. The McConnell campaign insists that their internal poll showing him with a 7-point lead is far more accurate.

With blood in the water, Grimes has secured a commitment from President Bill Clinton to campaign in the state on her behalf. With heavy artillery of that caliber, McConnell may be leaning on overwhelming Republican turnout in Kentucky to decide his fate.

As projections currently stand, it is entirely conceivable that the GOP could retake the U.S. Senate without Mitch McConnell among them.

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#GASen: Leaked Campaign Plan Exposes Nunn’s Weaknesses Tue, 29 Jul 2014 16:43:50 +0000 Conservative Intel After an ‘accidental leak’ of her campaign plan to succeed retiring Senator Saxby Chambliss, Democrat nominee Michelle Nunn is between a rock and a hard place in terms of how to couch her strategy.

First reported by National Review Online, the leaked campaign plan detailed key issues on which Nunn might be exploited as a weak candidate.

Those weaknesses include being perceived as too liberal or soft on terrorism, given her association with a group linked to terrorists, or perhaps as a carpetbagger. You can read the full memo here.

The daughter of former Senator Sam Nunn, Michelle grew up in Bethesda, Maryland, during her father’s 25-year career in DC. After moving to Atlanta later in life, she is seen by some as a big-city liberal, out of touch with regular Georgians, especially those in the rural areas.

Nunn has been criticized as well for dodging key questions about her agenda as she continues to sidestep attempts by the GOP to brand her as Obama-lite.

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Fox News’ 2016 Hypothetical Matchup Tue, 29 Jul 2014 16:00:13 +0000 Conservative Intel According the most recent GOP tracking poll for hypothetical 2016 matchups, the race to succeed President Obama is still anybody’s game.

Among self-identified Republicans, Jeb Bush and Rick Perry tied for 12%. They were followed by Rand Paul at 11% and Chris Christie at 10%. Paul Ryan, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz tied for last with 9%.

The poll reflects similar results from a CNN poll that showed a crowded mob of potential candidates, most of whom are well within the margin of error from each other.

Though it’s still over two years out from the 2016 election, gauging how each responds to the issues on the ground offers some important insight into how — or even whether — they’ll ultimately make a bid for the White House.

All eyes are on November 5th, the day after the midterm elections, as the unofficial beginning of the 2016 race for the White House.

Should Republicans regain the Senate the day before, the following months may prove to be an all-out dog fight for control of the federal government in 2016.

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FLOTUS Campaigns Against Money’s Influence in Politics…Then Asks for Money Mon, 28 Jul 2014 23:21:32 +0000 Conservative Intel Apparently unaware of the instantly ironic statement, First Lady Michelle Obama appeared in the family’s hometown of Chicago for a Democrat fundraiser in which she decried money in politics, “So, yeah, there’s too much money in politics. There are special interests that have too much influence.”

Clearly not clued in on the dubiousness of her appeal, Obama continued,

“There is something you can do right now today to make a difference and that is to write a big, fat check. I kid you not. I’m going to be honest with you. That’s what we need you to do right now. We need you to write the biggest, fattest check that you can possibly write.”

In contrast to her husband’s struggling ability to draw a crowd, FLOTUS commanded a minimum of $500 per plate at the glitzy Waldorf Astoria event, with some attendees paying as much as $10,000 per head.

The Obamas have been jet-setting across the country in recent months to help build a Democrat war chest in anticipation of what most see as a Republican landslide in November. With the Obama legacy on the line, maintaining control of the Senate under Harry Reid is essential for Obama in order to forestall a stalemate between Congress and the White House during his final two years in office.

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Dems Pump Impeachment Talk in Hopes of Boosting Fundraising Mon, 28 Jul 2014 23:21:14 +0000 Conservative Intel The increase in hubbub over whether House Republicans might pursue impeachment of President Obama has Democrats trying to turn the issue to their advantage.

The DNC has recently released a throng of fundraising emails to its base with threats of a Republican witch hunt if Democrats are not able to defend against Republican attacks.

“The fact that the third-highest-ranking Republican in the House is refusing to rule out impeachment offers a stunning view of the extreme measures this Republican Congress will take to push their reckless partisan agenda,” said DCCC Chairman Steve Israel, according to The Hill.

The party reportedly has already raised $2 million from the efforts.

Republicans welcomed the news. “You know, this might be the first White House in history that’s trying to start the narrative of impeaching their own president,” quipped House Majority Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) on Fox News Sunday.

Despite Sarah Palin’s having launched a major push for impeachment by grassroots Republicans earlier in the month, House and GOP leaders are reluctant to give the idea much credence. Most view it as a losing tactic for Republicans. Rep. Steve Stockman even speculated that Obama actually wants to be impeached. He told

“He wants us to impeach him now, before the midterm election because his senior advisers believe that is the only chance the Democratic Party has to avoid a major electoral defeat. Evidently Obama believes impeachment could motivate the Democratic Party base to come out and vote.”

Continuing to mention impeachment allows Obama and the Democrats to shift blame away from Obama’s failed agenda and this suits them just fine.

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CNN Poll: Romney Would Best Obama, Lose to Hillary Mon, 28 Jul 2014 22:22:42 +0000 Conservative Intel A CNN poll released Sunday indicates that in a head-to-head rematch, 2012 GOP nominee Mitt Romney would best President Obama with 53% of the popular vote.

In contrast, Barack Obama only won reelection with 51% of the popular vote, and George Bush barely won 50% in 2004. But perhaps a harbinger of the coming 2016 election is Hillary’s resulting 55% hypothetical victory over Romney.

The poll also indicated that the early race for the GOP presidential nod is still unclear with no obvious leader. Chris Christie led the pack by one point with 13 percent of Republicans polled, while Rand Paul and Mike Huckabee tied at 12 percent. Paul Ryan and Rick Perry pulled in just behind at 11%. Mitt Romney was not among proffered candidates.

Respondents who identified as Democrat clearly favored Clinton. She cleared 67% favorability, while Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden followed distantly with 10% and 8% respectively.

1012 individuals participated in the poll and of those surveyed, of 32% identified as Democrats, 24% identified Republicans, and 44% were Independents or some other party. Overall, the poll claims a plus or minus 3 percentage point accuracy.

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Poll: 2 in 5 Favor House Lawsuit Against Obama Mon, 28 Jul 2014 21:17:07 +0000 Conservative Intel A new poll released Friday by CNN reports a third of Americans believe President Obama should be impeached while 41% feel a lawsuit should be filed against him.

With nearly 60% of Republicans in favor of impeachment, joined by a third of Independents, and 13% of Democrats, the president’s favorability among voters continues to wane.

A similar poll released earlier in the week by Fox News shows 36% of Americans support the House of Representatives pursuing impeachment proceedings and 58% of respondents felt that Obama went too far when he delayed portions of Obamacare:
CIB072814-FoxPollInterestingly, CNN found that 30% of respondents favored impeaching George W. Bush in August, 2006 and only 29% favored impeaching Bill Clinton in September of 1998:
CIB072814-CNNPollWith over two years before the 2016 election, the prospects of the president reviving his image looks bleak.

Should Republicans regain control of the U.S. Senate in November, many expect an all-out war between the legislative and executive branches in which the Republican Party will be expected to follow on a mandate to undo many of the overreaches of previous Congresses and the White House, including Obamacare.

With key decisions now routinely coming down from the courts, including last week’s landmark striking down of Obamacare subsidies, the prospect of the judiciary playing referee between the other two branches may be inevitable.

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Environmental Regulations Leave 40% of the Border Unpatrolled Mon, 28 Jul 2014 19:08:58 +0000 Conservative Intel The border crisis that came under fire weeks ago, is fast becoming issue numero uno in the 2014 election cycle and is far from over. In addition, 56% of respondents in a Fox News Poll say the current administration has not been competent handling “the southern border.”

Making a bad situation worse, The Hill reports that 800 miles of the U.S.-Mexico border are unmanned by the U.S. Border Patrol. This vast area falls under control of the U.S. Department of Interior and Forest Services.

The reason? The latter agency prohibits the former agency from patrolling to protect wildlife habitats.

Seizing on the opportunity, Sen. Ted Cruz blasted, “There is no doubt that the restrictions on accessing land along the border have made it more difficult for the Border Patrol to do their job. It seems a common-sense reform to say that the Border Patrol should be able to fully access and patrol the border.”

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Bad Blood Ensues Between Rick Perry and Chris Christie Fri, 25 Jul 2014 15:23:21 +0000 Conservative Intel The often cool temps in Aspen, Colorado, were heated this week amid frustration among GOP governors in attendance of the annual Republican Governor’s Association meeting.
Chris Christie, currently serving as chairman of the RGA, has refused to give financial support to New York Republican gubernatorial candidate Robert Astorino, who is running against incumbent NY governor and friend of Christie, Andrew Cuomo.
Making matters worse, reports have surfaced that Christie urged the NY State GOP chairman to “disinvite” Astorino from the RGA meeting.
When Rick Perry heard of the feud between Astorino and Christie camps over the refused funds, he invited Astorino to attend as his personal guest. And lest anyone question Perry’s intent on making good on his promises, Perry tweeted a photo with Astorino and the caption, ”Glad to be with my buddy @RobAstorino in Aspen.
The Astorino camp responded in-kind, “The Aspen trip made it clear that governors from around the nation will be helping County Executive Astorino become Governor Astorino. It also made it clear that RGA Chairman Chris Christie will not be among them. We can live with that and we will move on.”
Making matters worse, contrary to what Christie administration officials have indicated in terms of his hope that Astorino would beat Cuomo, Andrew Cuomo made explicit that Christie has no such hope, quipping, “I spoke to Gov. Christie this morning, who told me the exact opposite.”
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Mitchell launches false attacks on Moolenaar Thu, 24 Jul 2014 16:43:03 +0000 Conservative Intel There are opinions and then there are verifiable facts. John Moolenaar’s positions on the Obamacare exchange and Medicaid expansion are verifiable facts, as he spent time in the Michigan legislature when those edicts came down from on high in Washington and each state had to make decisions on how to handle them.

Moolenaar stood firm in opposition. On the Obamacare exchange, he was one of twelve Senate Republicans to vote against its implementation. On Medicaid, he was one of eighteen Senate Republicans against expansion. He even explained his opposition to the latter on the House floor, which you can view here.

But that’s not what his opponent Paul Mitchell would have you believe.

(Yes, this is the same Paul Mitchell who donated twice to Democrat Senator Debbie Stabenow in 2005.)

Apparently, Moolenaar’s votes against these two pieces of legislation – in Medicaid expansion’s case, a razor thin vote passed it – were his way of covering up his support. Sound plausible? I didn’t think so.

So on what basis does Mitchell make his charges? He argues that when John Moolenaar voted for HB 5014 in 2011 it was a vote to “create a Michigan Obamacare exchange” and when he voted for SB 763 in 2014, it was part of his leading “efforts to pass the budget that expanded Medicaid and funded Obamacare.”

As you may surmise, these are budget bills. Jack McHugh, senior legislative analyst at the Mackinac Center for Public Policy – a Michigan-based think tank whose website was cited as the source in the Mitchell attack ad –said this of such budget bills:

“Budgets typically pass with votes from lawmakers who may have opposed the creation of individual line-items contained in that budget. It’s up to voters to decide if a lawmaker’s vote for a budget constitutes his or her support of every item in that budget. A campaign may say that it does, but that’s not the purpose of”

Even Michigan Tea Party Scorecard editor Ray Hamman says, “We tend to not score on those kinds of messy budget bills. They are just too complex.”

Moolenaar clearly opposes the Obamacare exchange and the Medicaid expansion, so what is Mitchell’s motive? Often the simplest solution is the correct one. Mitchell is getting desperate. Moolenaar was previously endorsed by popular conservative Michigan Attorney General Bill Schuette and Michigan Right to Life, among others. Now he’s fresh off an endorsement from conservative icon Russell Kirk’s wife, Annette – a rare occurrence.

Mitchell is grasping at straws. Sadly these kinds of dirty attack ads are all too common in politics these days.

(Hat tip to Michigan Tea Party News for exposing this.)

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